Oligarchs Rule! Chaos Ensues!

This week President-elect Elon Musk killed a bilateral funding agreement negotiated over recent months between both parties in the House and the Senate. Wait. What? President-elect Musk? Didn’t Donald J. Trump win the popular vote and the Electoral College vote? Didn’t he win in a “landslide” and now has a “mandate” to do whatever he wants? Well, yes and no. Trump won the election but got less than 50% of the total vote and won by only about 1.5% of the popular vote. (The fourth smallest margin since 1960.) Not exactly the landslide that his propaganda machine is crowing about. But then, he has learned that if he repeats something long enough, people believe it. If they believe he won in a landslide then he can do whatever he wants. Simple.

As I write this, the House under Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (MAGA-LA) is trying to figure out how to keep the government open. Under current law, the federal government will run out of money at 12:01 AM Saturday. As a country, we have been here before. Somehow, in the end, the Congress finds some way to keep the government operating, although there have been increasing numbers of shutdowns this century. Whether it happens today, or this weekend, we will find out, but this one seems different. It appears we are watching the early formation of the kakistocracy that the Trump administration will oversee starting in 2025.

The reality is that Speaker Johnson cannot get any meaningful legislation passed without at least some votes from Democrats. His own party holds a very slim majority (it will be even slimmer in 2025) and the Freedom Caucus — a hard right wing faction of Johnson’s party — refuses to vote for Continuing Resolutions (CRs) under any circumstance. The Democrats now have no reason to negotiate — their position is that there already was an agreement, Johnson reneged on it, and now they do not trust anything that he says or does. Musk must be really getting off on all of it. It is fun for him and Trump.

I need not remind anyone that Elon Musk is not an elected official of any sort and has no standing in any legal capacity to do anything in the government. And yet, his roughly 70 posts on “X” caused Republicans to renege on the deal made with the Democrats. Trump himself, who acts like he is already the president even though he is not, later posted on “Truth Social” that Republicans should walk away from the deal. But they already had. Was Musk telling Trump what to do, was Trump just slow off the mark, who will be in charge of the White House come next January 20? Musk contributed roughly 270 million dollars to the Trump campaign starting last summer. He also used his powerful social media company “X” to push Trump with the voters and to disparage the Democrats. Clearly, Musk thinks he is the real power behind the MAGA take-over of the government. Lots of Republicans in the House did what he told them to do when he threatened to use his billions to “primary” them in 2026 if they didn’t kill the deal. Senator Rand Paul (MAGA-KY) even posited that Musk should be the next Speaker of the House (there is no requirement for the Speaker to be a member of the House of Representatives or any other elected position). Whether he was serious or not, several other MAGA law makers opined that it might not be a bad idea. Remember that Musk is from South Africa and became a naturalized U.S. citizen in 2002. He is now considered the richest man in the world but in 2010 his company was saved by a 465 million dollar loan from the U.S. government. He now has billions of dollars in contracts with the U.S. government. Yet, he wants to cut funds from programs that help everyday Americans and supports Trump’s immigration policies that would, if his campaign promises are true, include expelling naturalized citizens from certain countries. Oh yeah. I forgot to mention that one of Musk’s oligarch buddies is one Vladimir Putin. What could go wrong?

Under the Trump Administration we will have a new government “of the billionaires, by the billionaires, for all the billionaires.”

We are getting a preview of things to come under Trump. In a word — chaos. Anyone that thought a second Trump term would reflect a better understanding of how to actually govern should rethink that premise. It will be deliberately chaotic. Trump’s nominees for Secretary of Defense (SECDEF), Director of National Intelligence (DNI), Secretary of Human Health and Services (HHS) and Attorney General (AG) (as well as the Federal Bureau of Investigation) are not only totally unqualified for those positions, but they all carry baggage that makes them dangerous to hold those jobs. Their proposed appointments are not based on loyalty to Trump. It goes deeper than that. It is about fealty to Trump. Total obedience and unquestioned responses to his most bizarre or revenge filled ideas. And that’s the point. Each of those four departments “wronged” Trump in his first term. The military would not go along with his desire to implement the Insurrection Act and use U.S. troops against American citizens. The Intelligence Community did not bow to his wishes and is suspect because of their investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election. HHS embarrassed him during the Covid-19 pandemic when they discounted his most crazy ideas (bleach in the veins anyone?) The AG appointed a Special Prosecutor to investigate Trump’s crimes (an attempted coup and stealing national top secret material) and the FBI “invaded” his Mar-a-Lago club (executed a valid search warrant). He wants to destroy those institutions and rebuild them to do his bidding.

His move towards authoritarianism is clear. The real battle over the survival of our Constitution will come in January over these (and other questionable) nominees to lead our government. We are seeing the early skirmishes now over funding the government. MAGA Republicans will not hold Trump accountable. We have already seen that as they caved to his demand to undermine a comprehensive immigration bill written by Republicans and now his actions to destroy a bipartisan negotiated agreement to fund the government. The battle lines in the Senate will come when it is time to vet Trump’s cabinet nominees. Will the Senate cave to Trump’s demands, and thus give up one of their most cherished functions under the Constitution to “advise and consent” to presidential nominees and just roll over? Or worse yet, adjourn so that Trump can make recess appointments without any Senate involvement.

Meanwhile the Silicon Valley “tech bros” are contributing millions to Trump’s inauguration. Since Trump refuses to sign any ethics agreements with the federal government there is no way to know exactly how much or for what purpose that money is used. It could be going into Trump’s pocket.

The oligarchs are in charge and will make sure that they and their billionaire buddies are well taken care of in every way possible. Tax breaks, no regulation, eliminate environmental rules, the sky is the limit. For the Trump voters, they will not see any of the economic benefits that have been promised.

Whatever happens in the short term, government shutdown or not, we are seeing a dress rehearsal for the way that the Trump/Musk Administration will govern.


How Long Do We Have to Put Up With This?

There go my men and I must follow as I am their leader.  — John Boehner

Speaker of the House John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) did not actually say those words, or at least there is no record of it.  But it seems to be his motto.  He has demonstrated little to no control over his party in the House of Representatives.  The latest lack of leadership revolves around the upcoming end of the fiscal year and the need to fund the government or shut it down.  Right behind that by about three weeks we will face default on our national debt if the debt ceiling is not raised.  This development seems to be yet another impending manufactured crisis in the continuing efforts of about forty right-wing Republican Representatives determined to destroy our national economy if they do not get their way.  “Looking out for the middle class” indeed.

Speaker Boehner understood that the legislation passed in the House yesterday is not the way to make sure that the government continues to operate effectively.  He knows that the Senate and the President will never go along with his plan to delay and/or de-fund the Affordable Health Care Act otherwise known as “Obamacare.”  He tried to maneuver legislation that will give the malcontents a chance to vote once again to eliminate Obamacare but in a way that the Senate could then easily overcome and everyone could move on.  But no, that wasn’t good enough for those trying to hijack our country and so Speaker Boehner backed down and moved legislation nearly guaranteed to keep us tied up in knots once again.  He even pretends now that it is a good idea.

There are several things to remember about this “fight” as they call it.  First of all It is a manufactured crisis.  The Affordable Care Act is duly passed legislation found Constitutional by the Supreme Court (with five of the Justices avowed conservatives) and a national election where Obamacare was a primary issue.  In case nobody noticed, President Obama was re-elected and the Democrats retained the Senate.  Let me put a finer point on that.  The president was re-elected in a national election.  Any member of Congress, including the Speaker, was only elected by a small fraction of the electorate.  On top of that, the House has voted at least forty times (almost too many to count) to repeal, defund, delay or otherwise disrupt the legislation.  This they have time for but they cannot seem to find the time for getting on with the business of actually running the country.  Throw on top of that the refusal to consider other significant pieces of legislation passed in the Senate with bipartisan support and they really do have a terrible track record.  I suppose that the only thing that matters is that they demonstrate their commitment to obstructing the Obama administration at every turn whether or not it is a good idea and whether or not it hurts the majority of Americans.

Oh, and by the way, the bill they passed is only a continuing resolution to mid-December.  There will still be no 2014 budget or appropriations.  They “need more time.”  This after being on vacation for five weeks in August and September and coming after several attempts by the president in the spring to work with Republicans to avert a crisis and to get things moving again.

Oh, and by the way, sequestration remains in force under their continuing resolution which all agree is not the way to reign in government spending.

Speaker Boehner spoke of “victory” after the vote.  The only “victory” was by the recalcitrant gang of forty and their allies outside the government such as Heritage Action for America and the Club for Growth that have intimidated moderate Republicans in the House.  I could go on about the growth industry supported by these groups and the immense amounts of money that come their way when the conflict continues, but that will be a post for another day.  I will merely say that they have no real interest in resolving these issues because that’s what they thrive on.

Not-with-standing the real politics behind the scenes, and I do understand how a Speaker of the House gets elected by the majority party, there should still be an occassional reminder to Speaker Boehner that he is Speaker for the entire country, not just a radical wing of his party.

I am also tired of these guys (and a few gals) who claim to speak for all Americans.  As the Speaker said, “We had a victory for the American people, and frankly we also had a victory for common sense.  Our message to the United States Senate is real simple.  The American people don’t want the government shut down and they don’t want Obamacare.”  Well, maybe he got it half right as most of us do not want the government to shut down.  Note that he says the “American people” meaning every American.  Not “most Americans” or “many Americans” or even “my constituents that are Americans” or any other modifier.  Every American.  How dare he or anyone else say that?  How conceited to think that he or his party speaks for every American.  He may mean those that voted for him and that’s legitimate, but the facts just do not support the assertion that everyone wants Obamacare eliminated.  Note also that they have not proposed any replacement for bringing health care to those that need it.  Just get rid of what was passed three years ago.

This is outrageous to me.  Saner minds, including I’m sure Speaker Boehner, must know that their bill will go exactly nowhere.  However, it is not clear to me how this will get resolved.  If the malcontents do not get their way on the continuing resolution (an actual spending bill by 30 September is now out of the question) they have threatened to default on the national debt.  Thanks guys, I’m sure that will help the economy to recover.

Oh, and by the way, raising the debt limit is required to pay our nation’s bills.  Bills that we are already committed to based on legislation already passed in the House and Senate.  This is not new spending.  It’s paying the existing bills.

To be clear, I do think that we should take a hard look at spending, programs and where government can be trimmed or modified or improved.  Likewise I’m sure that there are ways to improve the Affordable Care Act and that there will be blips along the way that need to be rectified.  Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and other programs have been improved through bipartisan efforts.  It should be the same for this program and for government spending on the whole.

There is no moral equivalency here.  Suggestions to compromise fall on deaf ears because there is nothing to compromise about.  The hostage takers will not negotiate or compromise.   I understand that Democrats don’t get everything right.  The president doesn’t get everything right.  Not all Republicans are trying to bring down the government.  There are some good people on both sides of the aisle that could fix some of these issues in a meaningful way.  It is not happening because of the group of Republican crazies in the House (and lately two or three in the Senate).  No one will stand up to them from within their own party for fear of losing their job.  From where I sit, those people may as well lose their job because they are not doing it.  If they are unwilling to stand up for what they believe to be right, then they should leave.

To me Speaker Boehner has decided that it is more important to remain as Speaker of the House than to do the right thing (he wouldn’t lose his seat in the Congress as he is popular in his home district).  He could have put forward a bill to solve the “budget crisis” that would have passed with bipartisan support.  But he also knew that those in his party that want to hold the country hostage would probably have brought him down as Speaker.

Here is what will probably happen, although increasingly I am finding that I should get out of making predictions.  But, I will give it a try anyway.

The Senate will pass a bill that is a continuing resolution that keeps spending at about current levels but that will try to move some money around to lessen the impact of the sequestration.  A few Republican Senators will try to derail it.  This slows down the process so that the bill passes with only two or three days until the deadline and then goes back to the House.  Another round of publicity speeches will take place as they continue to rant against Obamacare and the administration.  This will further slow down the process so that the “compromise” that passes the House and Senate sometime early on the morning of 1 October will be the spending levels that we have now including sequestration.  It will be temporary so that we can do all of this again in late December or early January.

All concerned will take a break for about one day and then the hostage taking will continue anew over raising the debt ceiling.

How long do we have to put up with this?