A Tough Week For the USA

President Xi Jinping of China greets Donald Trump in Beijing. Trump tried his “yank-shake” handshake as he arrived in Tiananmen Square to meet with Xi. It did not work as Xi stood calmly but firmly. Trump ended up tapping his hand multiple times and held his hand a remarkably long time. It seemed a test of wills that Xi appeared to win. That was the first of many wins for China during the summit. (Photo by AJP/Getty)

Last week Trump travelled to China for a long planned summit with Xi Jinping. It did not go well. One of many such failures as the war of choice against Iran continues, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, prices continue to rise, Trump remains fixated on his ballroom, arch and reflection pool, and we learned of his plans to use the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to create a slush fund with taxpayer money to raise a private army to do his bidding in the lead up to the mid-term elections. Just another week in May under the Trump regime.

Nearly every analyst and former U.S. government diplomat not on Fox News deemed Trump’s visit to China as an unmitigated humiliation. The Chinese did what they do very well by putting on a great show for Trump that included everything from military units in formation to young children waving flags and singing. Trump soaked it all in with undisguised glee while at every turn doing all that he could to flatter, praise and openly admire Xi in hopes of being his friend. Meanwhile, Xi unemotionally but firmly stuck to substance and his talking points in taking Trump to the woodshed and stealing his lunch money. The entire visit was staged to show that China is an ascending power and that the U.S. is a declining power. So long world stage — Trump is now just another actor on display, no longer considered the world’s most important figure in the nation no longer considered the most formidable on earth. What happened in China not only demonstrated strength in their declaring that they are now a power to be reckoned with, but it also strengthened the perception throughout the world, for enemies and allies and friends, that Trump is no longer to be feared or taken seriously. Move along folks, nothing to see here. Or as I heard from my days living in Texas, Trump proved that he is “all hat and no cattle.”

It started when Xi warned Trump publicly not to fall into the “Thucydides Trap.” For those who may have slept through their western civilization courses in school, Thucydides was a Greek historian analyzing the Peloponnesian War between Athens and Sparta in ancient Greece. The theory is that when a rising power, in this case Athens, threatens a ruling power, here Sparta, it leads to war. The modern theory came from the Harvard professor Graham Allison who studied multiple historical examples and concluded that it is possible to avoid the “trap” through cooperation, communication and co-existence such as between the USSR and US during the cold war. Unfortunately, Trump seems naturally unable to cooperate, communicate or co-exist with anyone.

Xi was clearly telling Trump, publicly, that China was at least an equal power to the U.S. He was warning Trump that China was willing to fight for their future and would not be cowed by the United States. Where does it most immediately apply? With Taiwan. China claims that Taiwan is part of the People’s Republic of China, not an independent democratic state. China fully intends to integrate Taiwan into their country. (See what happened with Hong Kong.) The only issue is when and how. U.S. policy regarding Taiwan for decades, under Democrat and Republican administrations, has been one of strategic ambiguity. That means that we recognize a “One China Policy” whereby China includes Taiwan but we do not endorse China’s claim nor intend to facilitate their taking over the island. Indeed, we provide weapons to Taiwan in order for them to maintain their self-defense, we will not let China dictate those arms sales, we will not be an intermediary between China and Taiwan and we will continue to recognize Taiwan’s sovereignty.

During Trump’s visit Xi explicitly, and again, importantly publicly, declared that the Thucydides Trap may be Taiwan if the U.S. did not allow China to take it over. Specifically Xi said, “the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-US relations. If mishandled, the two nations could collide or even come into conflict, pushing the entire China-US relationship into a highly perilous situation.” In diplomatic speak he is telling Trump to buzz off and let them have their way with Taiwan. Amazingly, Trump briefed Xi on an impending 14 billion dollar arms sale to Taiwan and asked for his assessment (permission?) about going ahead with it. Trump said he considered the sale to be a “bargaining chip.” To make matters worse, on Fox News in response to questions about Taiwan he said, “We’re supposed to travel 9,500 miles to fight a war? I’m not looking for that.” Taiwan is about 7,800 miles from Washington D.C. (Oh yeah. Tehran is about 6,400 miles.)

In sum, Trump treats democracies (Ukraine, Taiwan) like parasites to be ignored or given over to dictatorial states (Russia, China) whose leaders he considers to be his friends and bows to whatever directions they give him.

Meanwhile, the war of choice against Iran may or may not be over. Apparently Trump is bored with the whole thing and he must think that if he just ignores it, it will all go away. It is not. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed to most traffic. Trump asked Xi to help get the Strait open again and was politely rebuffed. Xi is not about to help out as they have their own special relationship with Iran. Besides, why help your opposition when they are slowly being degraded militarily and economically in a war that they started. He is not going to rescue us from our own mistake. Most economists clearly state that the worst economic impact of the war is yet to come — even if the war ended today. Like it or not, we are stuck in the Middle East, even as our Arab friends are looking around for someone other than the U.S. to ally themselves with as they slowly realize that Trump could care less about their future.

Iran? Taiwan? Economic hardship for Americans? Trump could care less. He even said so last week. On his way to depart for the China trip a reporter asked him about the plight of the average American consumer who is struggling due to the impact from the war in Iran. His response? “I don’t think about Americans’ financial situations, I don’t think about anybody.” What he does think about is his ballroom, arch and reflection pool. He is still seeking one billion taxpayer dollars for his ballroom and construction is continuing. He has hit a temporary setback as the Senate Parliamentarian ruled the current bill out of order for a simple majority vote. It will require sixty Senators to approve it. I do not expect that to impact Trump’s plans. The survey teams were out this week scoping and testing the soil at the site of Trump’s proposed arch, even as numerous groups work in court to stop it. Trump tried to attach its construction to already approved contracts for the White House itself, even though they are at least a mile apart and have no actual relation to each other. No law, rule or regulation is going to stand in his way. The two million dollar renovation of the reflection pool that went in a no bid contract to one of his friends has now burned through over thirteen million dollars of taxpayer money and is behind schedule. Of course it is.

This week we also discovered another of the many Trump schemes to enrich himself and to consolidate his power. Besides his wealth increasing by about five billion dollars since being elected in 2024 — I am sure there is no insider trading or conflicts of interest involved at all — you may recall that Trump, as president, is suing the IRS for ten billion taxpayer dollars. Apparently there are negotiations underway where Trump will forgo the ten billion for 1,776,000,000 taxpayer dollars. (Get it? Ha ha. I cannot make this stuff up.) The 1.7 billion will go to a “Truth and Justice Commission” to pay reparations to all of those who suffered from the “weaponization” of the Department of Justice (DOJ) during the Biden Administration. Besides the fact that only Congress can authorize and appropriate the use of taxpayer dollars, and the fact that Trump is once again negotiating with himself to see how much money he can walk away with, there are several other wildly disquieting issues surrounding this scheme. One is reportedly that in return for the new agreement, Trump, his family and all of his organizations, entities and enterprises can never ever again be audited by the IRS. I am sure that is totally on the up and up. But it gets worse.

Among those explicitly discussed as recipients of payouts are the roughly 1500 rebels that invaded the seat of government, mauled law enforcement officers and tried to overthrow an election and were convicted or pleaded guilty for their crimes. Trump pardoned them for doing his bidding and now he wants to pay them. Hold that thought. Under the proposal, there would be five Commissioners, four of whom would be appointed by the Attorney General, and Trump could dismiss any one of them or all of them without cause. All proceedings would be classified and not reviewable by any entity except Trump. The amounts and individuals or entities receiving payouts would not be disclosed. Trump himself would not be eligible for a payout, but his family and any Trump businesses or other organizations would be eligible. In other words, a Trump slush fund to use as he wants at taxpayer expense.

It is easy to see this as a viable way to raise a private army to wreak havoc before, during or after the upcoming elections. He did it once, but now he can promise them pardons and a payout for committing their crimes. Untouchable. None of us are stupid enough to think that no one would take up the offer. It is scary.

Tomorrow starts another week. Let us hope that Congress and the courts curtail or stop this reckless abuse of presidential power. Countries around the world have come to see Trump for who he really is and have stopped being impressed by his bullying and false bravado. There is no substance there and they are moving on. Let us hope that our fellow citizens realize the same things.


Burn It All Down

Let’s party like it’s 1984! Not the disco age 1984, but rather I mean the 1984 of George Orwell.

“Now I will tell you the answer to my question. It is this. The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake. We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power, pure power. What pure power means you will understand presently. We are different from the oligarchies of the past in that we know what we are doing.” — George Orwell, 1984

Yes, that George Orwell.

The first two weeks of the new administration have been tumultuous, to state the obvious. It has been very chaotic. This is by design, as I will explain below. It has been nothing less than a full scale assault on the federal government in an attempt to attack from so many directions at once that it is difficult to keep up with all of the illegal, immoral and unethical actions currently underway. But then, we should not be surprised by the actions of a thirty-four time convicted felon and adjudicated sexual abuser who tried to overthrow the duly elected government of the United States. The examples are numerous, but let me highlight a few in order to illustrate the scale of the assault.

“Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.”
― George Orwell, 1984

The Trump Administration is trying to erase every fact surrounding the attempted coup on 6 January 2021. First came the pardons for roughly 1500 criminals that assaulted law enforcement officers and threatened to kill many of our elected officials, including the Speaker of the House and the Vice President. Then came the continual and overbearing claim that the 2020 election was stolen. To date, not one political appointee appearing before the Senate for confirmation would affirm that President Joe Biden won the election, only that he was sworn in as president. They try to convince people that the coup never happened and that the riot was really a love fest. The latest claim is that the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) went “rogue” to weaponize our justice and law enforcement institutions to find and prosecute the alleged patriots who were only trying to “stop the steal.” As of today, the new administration is gutting the DOJ of experienced prosecutors and are pushing to fire about a third of the agents and leaders in the FBI. This is before the nominated Attorney General and FBI Director have been confirmed. Both have promised in public to go after anyone associated with upholding the rule of law on 6 January. Anyone involved, no matter how tangentially, will be fired and perhaps prosecuted. In this process, we are losing a valuable national asset that keeps us safe everyday. If the FBI is in internal turmoil, their energy is not focused on stopping drug dealers or terrorists. If “everyone” is fired there will be a critical loss of knowledge and expertise leaving our country vulnerable. There is an old saying that no one hears about the bomb that didn’t explode. The FBI and other intelligence agencies stop numerous dangerous plots that we never hear about. After the ongoing purge, our enemies will be emboldened to carry out their plans to kill Americans.

Trump fired all but two of the Inspectors General (IGs) in the federal government. These positions were established by Congress to be independent watch dogs in our government departments to weed out waste, fraud and abuse. Many of the IGs he fired were originally appointed during his first term. One can only surmise that they were fired to preclude them from calling out the illegal or unethical actions that his administration anticipates doing.

Last week we all mourned the tragic loss of 67 lives over the Potomac River in a mid-air collision. The nation mourned, except for the President, Vice President, Secretary of Defense (SECDEF) and the Secretary of Transportation (SDOT) who put on the most despicable and racist display I can remember from elected officials in my lifetime. By blaming “DEI” (Diversity, Equity and Inclusion programs) for the crash they barely concealed their belief that only white males are qualified to pilot aircraft and control air traffic. Trump tried to prove his point by reading from an FAA recruiting website that tried to open jobs to every American. He ridiculed it, blamed the accident on Presidents Obama (!) and Biden and their woke policies. The problem is that the entry from the website that he read aloud was posted during his first term. The racist implication of all of their talk of a “meritocracy” (one could ask if Pete Hegseth got his job as SECDEF because of the merits of his resume — cough cough) lies in what they really mean — that anyone that does not look like them is clearly not qualified to have a high powered job. No women or minorities could possibly be qualified. Worse, they probably took a job away from a white male. If you think I over exaggerate, then please let me point you in the direction of Trump’s Executive Order (E.O.) that rescinds President Lyndon Johnson’s 1965 Executive Order 11246 that prohibits discrimination in hiring for federal jobs. It codified affirmative action to eliminate discrimination and delineated employee protections in hiring. I guess Trump is promoting discrimination now.

“Power is in tearing human minds to pieces and putting them together again in new shapes of your own choosing.”
― George Orwell, 1984

To take it a step further, NBC reports that several government agencies will no longer acknowledge or celebrate Black History Month, Martin Luther King’s Birthday, Juneteenth, LGBTQ Pride Month, Holocaust Remembrance Day or “other observances.” We will see how that works as some are federal holidays by law. It also reflects that in the name of eliminating “political correctness” and “woke” ideology a very long list of terms have been officially expunged from government documents, websites and information outlets. In their place is a new list of approved words. We have traded one set of PC police to another set that are far more ruthless in weeding out what they do not like.

“But if thought corrupts language, language can also corrupt thought.”
― George Orwell, 1984

On the farcical level, to satisfy the Dear Leader, two dams in California’s San Joaquin Valley dumped billions of gallons of water that helped no one. Trump was trying to prove that he could have the Army (really the Army Corps of Engineers) “turn the valve” and have water flow to the Los Angeles area to help put out their devastating fires. A perfect photo op to show how he solved California’s water problems. The reality is that there was no way that water could ever be used to help with fires in LA. There is no infrastructure in place to get it to LA. The water in those reservoirs was wasted and was actually reserved for the upcoming summer irrigation needs to support agriculture. I am sure the farmers are thrilled he intervened.

More importantly, and a situation that is extremely troubling, Elon Musk and his acolytes now have access to every computer system in the government connected to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), the Treasury Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development (A.I.D.). Musk can now access classified information, the intimate records of every employee in the U.S. government, and every financial transaction made by the federal government. All six trillion dollars of it. That includes every payment to you, me, non-profits, government agencies, etc. etc. And oh yeah, that includes payments to every contractor doing business with the U. S. government, including those that are in direct competition with Musk’s businesses.

I need not remind you that Musk is a civilian with no official government position — not elected not confirmed by the Senate, nothing. He broke cybersecurity laws under the Federal Information Security Management Act (FISMA) and the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). Worse, they used external hard drives to access the information which raises the chances of importing a virus, ransomware, or to allow disruptive operations.

Not only is Musk not a government official and he has no security clearance, his background and activities are troubling. He is a naturalized citizen who grew up in South Africa under apartheid. Apparently, he had no issue with that racist policy. Among other suspect political activities, he spent 288 million dollars in 2024 on Trump’s campaign and to help other Republican office seekers. He actively supports a German political party known as the Alternative for Germany (AfG), a far right neo-Nazi group gaining influence in German political affairs.

This is a very secretive administration that obfuscates and covers up its illegal activities until they are uncovered by determined journalists or government whistle blowers. We don’t really know all that they are doing. But we do know what they have planned.

Many of the actions taken to date are an attempt to marginalize the House and Senate. And Trump and his accomplices are succeeding. They are breaking civil service laws, appropriation laws and ignoring the Constitution. It is an all out assault on the rule of law and an attempt to totally sideline the Congress. So far they are letting him do it. There is no push back and a lot of “anticipatory obedience”. To date, the Senate has approved all of his nominees even as the majority of Republican Senators know that a lot of the nominees are unqualified and will readily carry out illegal acts if so ordered by their president. (For the first time in American history the nominees that have appeared for confirmation hearings thus far have all refused to answer the question as to whether they would resign rather than carry out an illegal order. They all used some form of the response that they don’t answer questions about “hypotheticals”).

“We do not merely destroy our enemies; we change them.”
― George Orwell, 1984

The uniting thread in all of this is the conservative playbook known as Project 2025. News sources relate that roughly two-thirds of Trump’s E.O.s are straight out of the playbook. Many of the authors that wrote the book are being appointed or approved by the Senate for leading the agencies and departments that they plan to destroy.

Some examples include actions within the DOD that began with the Soviet style erasure of anything having to do with the former Chairman of the Joints Chiefs (CJCS) General Mark Milley and former SECDEF Mark Esper. They have eliminated all references, pictures, biographies or other indications of their work. Gone. Like it never existed. All because they stood up to Trump and his illegal ideas in his first term.

Did you know that it is official DOT policy that money to support transportation upgrades or new projects or anything under the department’s control will go to states and cities with the highest marriage and birth rates? (Use the link in the article to get to the policy — para 5,f,iii — you can’t make this stuff up.) This is part of the Project 2025 playbook that nuclear families with a wife at home having children should be the established norm.

This is what I and others have been saying since last summer. Project 2025 is the plan for our future. They are trying to totally destroy our democracy (and probably our economy — billionaires don’t care about average citizens and they will win in the end) in order to rebuild it in their own image.

Thus chaos.

It could be that it is chaos because Trump likes chaos. He likes to create a crisis so that he can “solve” it and take undue credit for fixing a problem that did not exist before and should not exist now. It could just be incompetence. It is easy to write E.O.s but it is much harder to execute them.

Unfortunately, there are other more nefarious reasons for the chaos and confusion. Trump has been declaring as many “national emergencies” as he can find in order to issue orders that in any other administration would not exist or that would be challenged in court. (Some organizations and state Attorneys General are gearing up to take many of the illegal actions to court. But it is a slow process.)

I think he is trying to create chaos and crises for a purpose. Call it my doomsday scenario. When everything starts to collapse — the government cannot function because of all the firings, the economy is collapsing under the weight of tariffs and other ill conceived actions — he will declare martial law (as he tried to do several times in his first administration when SECDEF Esper and CJCS Milley stopped him). He will simply take over. Only the toadies that have pledged their fealty to him will run departments and agencies (we are nearly there already). They will try to burn it all down and then rebuild it as JD Vance and the other 2025 folks have publicly declared. They are unabashed in their desire and stated goal to create a white nationalist Christian country controlled by white male oligarchs and headed by an autocrat. Trump doesn’t really care about any of it as long as he makes money (he is making a ton of it right now as president in unprecedented ways) and can retain the trappings of power he so dearly loves (Sir!).

There is a lot of talk about elections in 2026 and 2028 and how the Democrats will be taking over because of wide-spread discontent with Trump. How do we know there will be elections? Under a “national emergency” he may declare them deferred until the danger from the crisis is over — which it never will be. Too out there? Too apocalyptic? Why? He and his cult already tried to void an election and take over the government once, why not try it again? He suffered no consequences. Why should he be worried about any future ramifications? He is already making “jokes” about his third term. There is every reason to believe that this time he thinks he can get away with it. Who is going to stop him if Congress is powerless and his toadies control the levers of power?

The Project 2025 playbook is boring. It is also scary. The cadre around Trump are serious. They will pursue their agenda until stopped. They have already gotten the Congress to roll over for them. The court system will be used to over turn some of their more draconian actions but will that really stop them? The courts put an injunction against withholding lawfully appropriated funds and yet the Trump Administration continues to refuse to disburse a wide range of those funds.

I feel sorry for the people that are “too busy” or “too tired” and don’t want to hear about politics, they prefer ignorance. Some day they will realize their mistake. Call your Senator, Congressman and other elected officials and ask them what they are doing to stop the hostile takeover. It seems like right now all that our Senators and Representatives are doing is collecting a paycheck for occupying space. With Musk and his techies already controlling all of the government systems, even that may go away in the future.

“War is peace.
Freedom is slavery.
Ignorance is strength.”
― George Orwell, 1984


Groundhog Day

For quite some time now, life seems like an episode in the Bill Murray movie “Groundhog Day.”  Day after day after day we hear the same things.  If you watch the news regularly at some point during the day, an expert clinician, a physician or a nurse in an overwhelmed hospital, an established epidemiologist or other recognized health care expert will come on to be asked how to stop the spread of Covid-19.  Given that we have passed 4.5 million cases and 155,000 American deaths since 1 March, it is an important question.  The response, day after day, is to wear a face covering, social distance, wash one’s hands and don’t hang out in large crowds especially inside.  Not hard.  Every day there is also someone who recovers after a severe bout of Covid and says “I thought it was a hoax.”  Or, “I’m young and I didn’t think it would really be that bad.  But it was.  The worst feeling in my entire life.”  Sadly, we often hear the loved one of a person dead from Covid say something similar.

I can only think that we are a country of morons or losers or both.  How hard is it?  We know what to do.  Why don’t we do it?

Today’s news is that the virus is spreading into every corner of the United States.  It is only a matter of time and it is going to be bad.  Real bad.  In just the last week alone there were 453,659 new cases in the United States and the rate of hospitalizations grows everyday.  Over the last six days we averaged 1,233 deaths a day.  At that rate we will have approximately 37,000 more Americans dead by the end of August.  Remember when people thought that estimates of a 100,000 deaths total from this pandemic was considered to be too high and a lot of hyperbole to scare people?  At the current rate we will be at or over 200,000 dead around Labor Day.  Time to celebrate the beginning of fall!

Increasing numbers of experts (you know, real ones like scientists and doctors not the ones that say to inject bleach into your lungs) believe that we need to start over from the beginning.  Reset the stage.  Shutdown uniformly across the United States for 4-6 weeks — an actual shutdown, not a “if you want to” shutdown — to stop the spread and to be able to have a significant drop in cases so that “testing, tracing, isolation” actually has a chance to change the equation.

But no, I’m bored. I don’t want to do this anymore.  I think I’ll hang out with all my friends for a little pandemic party.  Haven’t seen you for awhile.  Here’s a hug for you and a hug for you and a little Covid for you, and hey buddy, here’s a little Covid for you too.  And then be surprised when people get sick.

It turns out that we cannot merely wish it away or ignore it.  It is not business as usual.

On top of the pandemic, but because of it, our economy is in the proverbial toilet.  For the quarter ending 30 June, the U.S. saw the worst decline for a single quarter since at least 1875 — perhaps in the history of the U.S.  Way to go guys!  We even beat the Great Depression of the 1930’s.

Don’t worry, though.  The Senate is on top of it.  The House passed a bill back in the middle of May to extend unemployment benefits, protect people from being evicted because they can’t pay their rent and other assistance for those that have lost their jobs through no fault of their own.  Called the Heroes Act (H.R.6800), it passed and was sent to the Senate on 20 May.  And sat. And sat. And as of 31 July, all the worker benefits passed by Congress to help the economy during the pandemic expired.  But rest assured, someday the Senate will act to help those in need.  Maybe.  They don’t want people to get too comfortable with this easy lifestyle.

One of the main concerns of those critical of the Heroes Act is that it continues the $600 weekly supplement to existing state unemployment insurance.  The argument is that it is too much because people can make more money by staying home rather than by going to work, which is why some businesses are struggling to reopen.  Let’s take a closer look.

Yes, the money is in addition to state unemployment, but most states pay roughly 35 to 40% of one’s salary up to a limit that varies by state.  However, when you do the math, $600 breaks down to $15/hour for a 40 hour work week.  As a national average, babysitters make $20.30 an hour for two kids. Not exactly the stuff of aspiring millionaires.

Such thinking also avoids the difficult issues.  Perhaps people staying home and not exposing themselves or their families during a pandemic is a good thing.  It helps to stop the spread of the virus.  Additionally, the “too generous” argument ignores other issues such as those workers are staying home because they may not have access to child care during the pandemic or because with schools closed, they need to stay home and help give their kids an education.  Perhaps they rely on public transportation which has been halted or is experiencing severe service cuts due to the pandemic.  Maybe it’s all of those and more.  And of course it presumes that their place of business reopened and is willing to hire them back.

With the economy already in the dumpster how is it going to recover if people don’t have any money to spend?  Have you seen the food lines around the country? (In the 30’s they were called bread lines but now you can stay in your car and also get a healthier selection of food!  Isn’t progress amazing?)  In the greatest country on earth?  Yep.  A bunch of freeloaders according to some.

Perhaps you could just follow Ivanka Trump’s new initiative for out of work Americans to “Find Something New.”  In her position as a Senior Adviser to the President she is advocating that roughly 15 million unemployed Americans go back to school, or develop IT skills or use on-line learning or sign on to learn a new skill as an apprentice (no she was not referring to her role on a TV show).  Mostly, her initiative is just a web site with links to a lot of other web sites with information that has been out in the public for months or years.

As my favorite saying goes, “Nothing is impossible for the person who doesn’t have to do it.”

As I predicted back in April, in this country it’s every person for themselves.  There is no political will to institute the steps needed to get the pandemic under control.  Without that active effort, the economy cannot recover.  All those bars and other super spreader events will eventually close again when a large amount of their patrons and employees are sick or dead.  But, hey!  It was great while it lasted.

Dire measures are needed.  It will hurt, it won’t be fun, it isn’t what we want but unless you want one of your friends or family to get sick and possibly die, suck it up.